Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.094135 1.472625e-01 0.210392 0.288312 0.379664 0.481502 0.601894
2026-01-04 0.033877 9.270205e-02 0.179586 0.302135 0.459707 0.647379 0.880800
2026-01-11 0.015924 7.480876e-02 0.177653 0.334800 0.546725 0.807061 1.138086
2026-01-18 0.005592 5.919137e-02 0.172550 0.359054 0.620784 0.950210 1.376130
2026-01-25 0.000425 4.128432e-02 0.156159 0.361981 0.663062 1.051220 1.561132
2026-02-01 NaN 2.101477e-02 0.124424 0.334742 0.659570 1.090872 1.668241
2026-02-08 NaN 7.153944e-03 0.092761 0.299584 0.639510 1.105232 1.740778
2026-02-15 NaN 2.192295e-03 0.077330 0.288502 0.651871 1.160593 1.863758
2026-02-22 NaN 6.360403e-04 0.071657 0.294499 0.689348 1.249477 2.029621
2026-03-01 NaN 7.851082e-07 0.062583 0.291265 0.711299 1.316504 2.166906
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.049226 0.274845 0.710253 1.350507 2.260359
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052916 0.299426 0.776812 1.479771 2.479492
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.056310 0.324874 0.847591 1.618839 2.716871
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054991 0.338374 0.899055 1.731657 2.921182
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.061828 0.373388 0.986917 1.896322 3.194283
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.065079 0.399007 1.059093 2.038965 3.438625
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.060102 0.402128 1.092970 2.127036 3.610706
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.044970 0.373258 1.070375 2.133283 3.673282
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.029679 0.335911 1.029562 2.111107 3.696248
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.023212 0.324114 1.032937 2.152412 3.803777
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.021617 0.330499 1.069774 2.243254 3.978641
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018048 0.327057 1.087765 2.305883 4.115079
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012325 0.309559 1.077814 2.326037 4.193104